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                <text>September 11 Digital Archive Emails</text>
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            <name>Description</name>
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                <text>This collection contains emails which were sent or received on or around September 11, 2001.  As of this writing individuals have submitted more than 1,500 correspondences.</text>
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 From: X
 Date: Sun, 4 Nov 2001 13:14:03 EST
 To: X
 Subject: Fwd: It's about oil - from yesterdays San Francisco Chronicle
 
 
 In a message dated 11/3/01 11:30:16 AM, X writes:
 
 &lt;&lt; It's about oil
 
 Ted Rall
 
 Friday, November 2, 2001
 
 
 URL:
 
 http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?file=/chronicle/archive/2001/11/02
 
 /ED90804.DTL
 
 
 New York -- NURSULTAN NAZARBAYEV has a terrible problem. He's the president
 
 and former Communist Party boss of Kazakstan, the second-largest republic of
 
 the former Soviet Union. A few years ago, the giant country struck oil in
 
 the eastern portion of the Caspian Sea. Geologists estimate that sitting
 
 beneath the wind-blown steppes of Kazakstan are 50 billion barrels of oil --
 
 by far the biggest untapped reserves in the world. (Saudi Arabia, currently
 
 the world's largest oil producer, is believed to have about 30 billion
 
 barrels remaining.) Kazakstan's Soviet-subsidized economy collapsed
 
 immediately after independence in 1991. When I visited the then-capital,
 
 Almaty, in 1997, I was struck by the utter absence of elderly people. One
 
 after another, people confided that their parents had died of malnutrition
 
 during the brutal winters of 1993 and 1994.
 
 
 Middle-class residents of a superpower had been reduced to abject poverty
 
 virtually overnight; thirtysomething women who appeared sixtysomething
 
 hocked their wedding silver in underpasses, next to reps for the Kazak state
 
 art museum trying to move enough socialist-realist paintings for a dollar
 
 each to keep the lights on. The average Kazak earned $20 a month; those
 
 unwilling or unable to steal died of gangrene while sitting on the sidewalk
 
 next to long- winded tales of woe written on cardboard.
 
 
 Autocrats tend to die badly during periods of downward mobility. Nazarbayev,
 
 therefore, has spent most of the past decade trying to get his landlocked
 
 oil out to sea. Once the oil starts flowing, it won't take long before
 
 Kazakstan replaces Kuwait as the land of Mercedes-Benzs and ugly gold
 
 jewelry. But the longer the pipeline, the more expensive and vulnerable it
 
 is to sabotage. The shortest route runs through Iran, but Kazakstan is too
 
 closely aligned with the United States to offend it by cutting a deal with
 
 Tehran. Russia has helpfully offered to build a line connecting Kazak oil
 
 rigs with the Black Sea, but neighboring Turkmenistan has experienced
 
 trouble with the Russians --
 
 they tend to divert the oil for their own use without paying for it. There's
 
 even a plan to run crude through China, but the proposed 5,300-mile-long
 
 pipeline would be far too long to prove profitable.
 
 
 The logical alternative, then, is Unocal's plan, which is to extend
 
 Turkmenistan's existing system west to the Kazak field on the Caspian Sea
 
 and southeast to the Pakistani port of Karachi on the Arabian Sea. That
 
 project runs through Afghanistan.
 
 
 As Central Asian expert Ahmed Rashid describes in his book "Taliban,"
 
 published last year, the United States and Pakistan decided to install a
 
 stable regime in place in Afghanistan around 1994 -- a regime that would end
 
 the country's civil war and thus ensure the safety of the Unocal pipeline
 
 project. Impressed by the ruthlessness and willingness of the then-emerging
 
 Taliban to cut a pipeline deal, the State Department and Pakistan's Inter-
 
 Services Intelligence agency agreed to funnel arms and funding to the
 
 Taliban in their war against the ethnically Tajik Northern Alliance. As
 
 recently as 1999, U.S. taxpayers paid the entire annual salary of every
 
 single Taliban government official, all in the hopes of returning to the
 
 days of dollar-a- gallon gas. Pakistan, naturally, would pick up revenues
 
 from a Karachi oil port facility. Harkening back to 19th century power
 
 politics between Russia and British India, Rashid dubbed the struggle for
 
 control of post-Soviet Central Asia "the new Great Game."
 
 
 Predictably, the Taliban Frankenstein got out of control. The regime's
 
 unholy alliance with Osama bin Laden's al Qaeda terrorist network, their
 
 penchant for invading their neighbors and their production of 50 percent of
 
 the world's opium made them unlikely partners for the desired oil deal.
 
 
 Then-President Bill Clinton's August 1998 cruise missile attack on
 
 Afghanistan briefly brought the Taliban back into line -- they even
 
 eradicated opium poppy cultivation in less than a year -- but they
 
 nonetheless continued supporting countless militant Islamic groups. When an
 
 Egyptian group whose members had trained in Afghanistan hijacked four
 
 airplanes and used them to kill thousands of Americans on September 11,
 
 Washington's patience with its former client finally expired.
 
 
 Finally the Bushies have the perfect excuse to do what the United States has
 
 wanted to do all along -- invade and/or install an old-school puppet regime
 
 in Kabul.
 
 
 Realpolitik no more cares about the thousands of dead than it concerns
 
 itself with oppressed women in Afghanistan; this ersatz war by a phony
 
 president is solely about getting the Unocal deal done without interference
 
 from annoying local middlemen.
 
 
 Central Asian politics, however, is a house of cards: every time you remove
 
 one element, the whole thing comes crashing down. Muslim extremists in both
 
 Pakistan and Afghanistan, for instance, will support additional terrorist
 
 attacks on the United States to avenge the elimination of the Taliban. A
 
 U.S.- installed Northern Alliance can't hold Kabul without an army of
 
 occupation because Afghan legitimacy hinges on capturing the capital on your
 
 own. Even if we do this the right way by funding and training the Northern
 
 Alliance so that they can seize power themselves, Pakistan's ethnic Pashtun
 
 government will never stand the replacement of their Pashtun brothers in the
 
 Taliban by Northern Alliance Tajiks. Without Pakistani cooperation, there's
 
 no getting the oil out and there's no chance for stability in Afghanistan.
 
 
 As Bush would say, "make no mistake": this is about oil. It's always about
 
 oil. And to twist a late '90s cliche, it's only boring because it's true.
 
 
 Ted Rall, a syndicated editorial cartoonist, has traveled extensively
 
 throughout Central Asia. In 2000, he went to Turkmenistan as a guest of the
 
 State Department. His latest book is "2024: A Graphic Novel" (NBM Books, May
 
 2001).
 
 
 ©2001 San Francisco Chronicle   Page A - 25
 
 
 
 
 ----------------------- Headers --------------------------------
 From: X
 Date: Saturday, November 3, 2001 11:27 AM
 To: (Recipient list suppressed)
 Subject: It's about oil - from yesterdays San Francisco Chronicle
 
 It's about oil
 Ted Rall
 Friday, November 2, 2001
 
 URL:
 http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?file=/chronicle/archive/2001/11/02
 /ED90804.DTL
 
 New York -- NURSULTAN NAZARBAYEV has a terrible problem. He's the president
 and former Communist Party boss of Kazakstan, the second-largest republic of
 the former Soviet Union. A few years ago, the giant country struck oil in
 the eastern portion of the Caspian Sea. Geologists estimate that sitting
 beneath the wind-blown steppes of Kazakstan are 50 billion barrels of oil --
 by far the biggest untapped reserves in the world. (Saudi Arabia, currently
 the world's largest oil producer, is believed to have about 30 billion
 barrels remaining.) Kazakstan's Soviet-subsidized economy collapsed
 immediately after independence in 1991. When I visited the then-capital,
 Almaty, in 1997, I was struck by the utter absence of elderly people. One
 after another, people confided that their parents had died of malnutrition
 during the brutal winters of 1993 and 1994.
 
 Middle-class residents of a superpower had been reduced to abject poverty
 virtually overnight; thirtysomething women who appeared sixtysomething
 hocked their wedding silver in underpasses, next to reps for the Kazak state
 art museum trying to move enough socialist-realist paintings for a dollar
 each to keep the lights on. The average Kazak earned $20 a month; those
 unwilling or unable to steal died of gangrene while sitting on the sidewalk
 next to long- winded tales of woe written on cardboard.
 
 Autocrats tend to die badly during periods of downward mobility. Nazarbayev,
 therefore, has spent most of the past decade trying to get his landlocked
 oil out to sea. Once the oil starts flowing, it won't take long before
 Kazakstan replaces Kuwait as the land of Mercedes-Benzs and ugly gold
 jewelry. But the longer the pipeline, the more expensive and vulnerable it
 is to sabotage. The shortest route runs through Iran, but Kazakstan is too
 closely aligned with the United States to offend it by cutting a deal with
 Tehran. Russia has helpfully offered to build a line connecting Kazak oil
 rigs with the Black Sea, but neighboring Turkmenistan has experienced
 trouble with the Russians --
 they tend to divert the oil for their own use without paying for it. There's
 even a plan to run crude through China, but the proposed 5,300-mile-long
 pipeline would be far too long to prove profitable.
 
 The logical alternative, then, is Unocal's plan, which is to extend
 Turkmenistan's existing system west to the Kazak field on the Caspian Sea
 and southeast to the Pakistani port of Karachi on the Arabian Sea. That
 project runs through Afghanistan.
 
 As Central Asian expert Ahmed Rashid describes in his book "Taliban,"
 published last year, the United States and Pakistan decided to install a
 stable regime in place in Afghanistan around 1994 -- a regime that would end
 the country's civil war and thus ensure the safety of the Unocal pipeline
 project. Impressed by the ruthlessness and willingness of the then-emerging
 Taliban to cut a pipeline deal, the State Department and Pakistan's Inter-
 Services Intelligence agency agreed to funnel arms and funding to the
 Taliban in their war against the ethnically Tajik Northern Alliance. As
 recently as 1999, U.S. taxpayers paid the entire annual salary of every
 single Taliban government official, all in the hopes of returning to the
 days of dollar-a- gallon gas. Pakistan, naturally, would pick up revenues
 from a Karachi oil port facility. Harkening back to 19th century power
 politics between Russia and British India, Rashid dubbed the struggle for
 control of post-Soviet Central Asia "the new Great Game."
 
 Predictably, the Taliban Frankenstein got out of control. The regime's
 unholy alliance with Osama bin Laden's al Qaeda terrorist network, their
 penchant for invading their neighbors and their production of 50 percent of
 the world's opium made them unlikely partners for the desired oil deal.
 
 Then-President Bill Clinton's August 1998 cruise missile attack on
 Afghanistan briefly brought the Taliban back into line -- they even
 eradicated opium poppy cultivation in less than a year -- but they
 nonetheless continued supporting countless militant Islamic groups. When an
 Egyptian group whose members had trained in Afghanistan hijacked four
 airplanes and used them to kill thousands of Americans on September 11,
 Washington's patience with its former client finally expired.
 
 Finally the Bushies have the perfect excuse to do what the United States has
 wanted to do all along -- invade and/or install an old-school puppet regime
 in Kabul.
 
 Realpolitik no more cares about the thousands of dead than it concerns
 itself with oppressed women in Afghanistan; this ersatz war by a phony
 president is solely about getting the Unocal deal done without interference
 from annoying local middlemen.
 
 Central Asian politics, however, is a house of cards: every time you remove
 one element, the whole thing comes crashing down. Muslim extremists in both
 Pakistan and Afghanistan, for instance, will support additional terrorist
 attacks on the United States to avenge the elimination of the Taliban. A
 U.S.- installed Northern Alliance can't hold Kabul without an army of
 occupation because Afghan legitimacy hinges on capturing the capital on your
 own. Even if we do this the right way by funding and training the Northern
 Alliance so that they can seize power themselves, Pakistan's ethnic Pashtun
 government will never stand the replacement of their Pashtun brothers in the
 Taliban by Northern Alliance Tajiks. Without Pakistani cooperation, there's
 no getting the oil out and there's no chance for stability in Afghanistan.
 
 As Bush would say, "make no mistake": this is about oil. It's always about
 oil. And to twist a late '90s cliche, it's only boring because it's true.
 
 Ted Rall, a syndicated editorial cartoonist, has traveled extensively
 throughout Central Asia. In 2000, he went to Turkmenistan as a guest of the
 State Department. His latest book is "2024: A Graphic Novel" (NBM Books, May
 2001).
 
 ©2001 San Francisco Chronicle   Page A - 25
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            <text>Sun, 4 Nov 2001</text>
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          </elementText>
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        <name>September 11 Email: CC</name>
        <description>The email addresses of those who received the message addressed primarily to another.</description>
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            <text/>
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      <element elementId="70">
        <name>September 11 Email: Subject</name>
        <description>A brief summary of the topic of the message.</description>
        <elementTextContainer>
          <elementText elementTextId="507165">
            <text>Subject: Fwd: It's about oil - from yesterdays San Francisco Chronicle</text>
          </elementText>
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              <text>2002-04-09</text>
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